University of South Carolina, Arnold School of Public Health, Dept. of Health Services Policy and Management Courses and Curricula
 News 

Slides and spreadsheets for lectures available here. There is a spreadsheet that correctly uses a logarithmic model to predict birth numbers. The prediction is just slightly different from what you will get using a linear model in assignment 6.

Mac users: The new Microsoft Office for the Mac 2008 does not have Solver! Curses! Office for the Mac 2004 does have it.

Feb. 28 lecture

 

HSPM J716
Quantitative Methods for Health Administration
Spring 2008

Samuel L. Baker, Ph.D.

Associate Professor
Office: HESC 121. Hours: Monday 10am-12m and 1pm-4pm
Phone: (803)777-5045
Fax: (803)777-6986 or (803)777-1836
E-mail:
For course-related e-mail, please include 716 in the subject.

Date Assignment due Discussion topic and readings
Jan. 14   Introduction to spreadsheets and econometrics 
Introductory probability and statistics review HTML
Simple Regression Theory I PDF
Class demo: What a linear model means HTML
Class demo: The true line and the regression line HTML
Assignment 1 PDF
Simple Regression Theory II PDF
Assignment 1A PDF

I revised the Assignment 1A instructions to change the spreadsheet a little!

The new spreadsheet fits better with what we will be doing in week 3. If you already did Assignment 1A, you don't need to resubmit it. To convert your Assignment 1A spreadsheet, download this file, open it in Excel, and follow the instructions you will see.

Jan. 28 1 and 1A (If you need more time with 1A, hand it in next week.)
Data for Assignment 1 and 1A HTML
Data for the last part of Assignment 1A HTML
Tables for hypothesis tests PDF for 1A and later assignments.
Assumptions behind using regression, Excel charts
Class demos about regression HTML
The Philosophy of Hypothesis Testing PDF
Graphs and predictions
Assignment 2 instructions PDF
Last year's instructions show how to graph in Excel 2000 or 2003. The assignment has changed a little, so read this year's instructions for what to send me.
Feb. 4 1A and 2
Data for assignment 1A's last part HTML
Answer Checker for assignment 2 HTML (includes help with the confidence interval). I recommend that you try this Answer Checker once you have completed the work for Clinic 1.
Multiple regression
Multiple regression theory PDF
Instructions for Assignment 3 PDF
Feb. 11 3
Getting data for assignment 3 HTML
LS HTML
Comment hints HTML
Multicollinearity in regression
Assignment 4 instructions PDF
Feb. 18 4
Data for assignments 4&5 Excel
LS HTML
Answer Checker HTML This Answer Checker includes help with calculating the F-test and with writing your comment on the F-test and t-test results.
Heteroskedasticity, nonlinear regression
Non-linear regression PDF
Assignment 5 PDF Corrected Monday night, Feb. 25, to fix this:

On page 4 it used to say Advanced users can try typing =ln&I1
Yes, they can try that, but they'll succeed if they type ="ln"&I1

Feb. 25 5
LS HTML
If you get stuck, you can get ideas from the Answer Checker HTML
Time series analysis
Dummy variables and time series PDF
Assignment 6 PDF
Mar. 3 6
Data for Assignment 6 Excel
LS HTML
Answer Checker HTML
Queuing theory introduction
Queuing Theory I, Assignments 7 and 7A PDF
Demonstrations used in class HTML
Mar. 17 7, 7A
The Answer Checker HTML features a partial walk-through for 7A's last question.
Queuing theory advanced models
Queuing Theory II, Assignments 8 and 8A PDF
Queuing Theory Cookbook PDF
Queuing theory cookbook with named cells HTML
Mar. 24 8 The Answer Checker HTML will help you start right and finish right.
8A Answer Checker HTML
What-if analysis
What-If Analysis and Assignment 9 PDF
Mar. 31 9 Answer Checker for part 1 HTML
Download file for Contest Excel
Linear programming introduction
Linear Programming I, Assignment 10 PDF
Apr. 7 10 Answer Checker HTML
If Solver... is not under the Data tab in Excel 2007 for PCs (under Tools in older Excel versions), here is how to install Solver in Excel 2007 PDF. Instructions for older Excel versions HTML.

Excel 2007 Solver bug!

When you ask for the Reports after solving, you may get an error message box. I have no sure workaround. Try changing the profit numbers to something much larger. Then Solve. Then change them back and Solve again. That worked once for me. If you have a computer available with Office 2003 or older, use that. If you can't get the Sensitivity Report, e-mail me your spreadsheet.

Linear programming, scheduling
Linear Programming II, Assignment 11 PDF
Apr. 14 11 Answer Checker HTML Project planning, critical path method (CPM)
CPM instructions, Assignment 12 HTML I recommend opening this HTML file in its own window and having Excel and Pathfind each open in separate windows. Use Alt+Tab to move among open windows.
Apr. 21 12
Pathfind HTML
Answer Checker HTML
Decision Theory
Decision Theory, Assignment 13 PDF
Tricky extra-credit question HTML
Apr. 28 13 Markup languages, HTML, and XML
HTML, Assignment 14 HTML
May 5 14 and all make-up or late work No class
 

Classes meet Mondays from 6:00 p.m. to 8:30 p.m. in Wardlaw 116. The classes are televised live to regional campuses and other locations with access to the ETV closed-circuit network.

Goal of the course: To introduce selected quantitative methods applicable to public and institutional health administration.

Instructional method: Learning by doing. You will apply the methods presented in class in homework exercises due each week.

Required work: The weekly assignments are the only required work in the course. No examinations. How the grading works.

Prerequisite: BIOS 700 or its equivalent with permission of the instructor. This course builds on the statistics concepts and the computer experience in BIOS 700. If you can understand this introductory probability and statistics review, you should be OK.

Readings: Downloadable pdf files. Links are in the table to the right. A free pdf reader can be downloaded from www.adobe.com. There is no book to buy. Students wishing additional detail on econometric theory may consult a standard textbook, such as Wonnacott & Wonnacott, Econometrics, but this not required.

Downloading all of the readings at the start of the semester is not recommended. I may revise some readings as I notice errors or get ideas for improvements. Instead, download each week's materials when you are about to start that week's work.

Required computer access: Every course assignment will require using a computer. You may do course assignments in our computer lab, Room 124 of the Arnold School of Public Health's old building (HESC). If you wish to work elsewhere, you must have access to a computer with a full-featured spreadsheet program and internet access with a browser that can do Java.

 Testing Java  If your Java version, Java is not working. Check your browser's settings to see if Java is present but disabled. (Internet Explorer 6 calls it Microsoft VM, under Tools | Internet Options | Security | Custom Level .), does not show or is less than 1.5, download and install a new Java. It's free at http://java.com
If you did that and you still don't see the version number.

Internet access, with a web browser with Java, will enable you to download data for assignments, use course software, read about bugs and last-minute changes, and use the Answer Checkers. (Answer checkers let you know instantly whether you are on the right track as you do assignments.) If you do not have internet access or cannot get Java to work, plan to spend time in our lab.

Full-featured spreadsheets:

Microsoft Excel OK, except that Mac Excel 2008 does not have Solver.
Corel Quattro Pro OK
Lotus 1-2-3 OK
Microsoft Works Not OK -- limited features, incompatible file format with Excel
Sun StarOffice OK, but I haven't tried its Solver.

You'll get keystroke-by-keystroke instructions for doing the assignments with Excel, run under Microsoft Windows . All of the course assignments can be done with recent versions of Excel, Quattro Pro, and Lotus 1-2-3. Course data files will be provided in a format that all of these programs can read. Students using spreadsheets other than Excel will have to translate the instructions to fit their particular programs. The spreadsheet with Microsoft Works is not good enough, sorry.

Solver: Several of the course exercises use Excel's Solver. This is not installed by the default "typical" installation of Excel. If the Solver icon is not under the Data tab in Excel 2007 (under Tools on older Excel versions), here is how to install it. (Here are instructions for older Excel versions. For older versions, you will need your Microsoft Office installation CD.)

Please locate the computer(s) that you intend to use well before the first meeting of the course. Contact me if you have questions about your computer's capabilities.

Homework: A write-up is mandatory. The write-up should answer the assignment's questions in sentences. It is good to also turn in your spreadsheet file. That can help a lot if I need to track down an error. Your spreadsheet can be in a separate file from your write-up, or you can include your write-up in the spreadsheet.

Most homework assignments have an online Answer Checker. It can tell you if you are on the right track, and give you hints.

Turning in homework: Use Blackboard's  Assignments  feature.

Blackboard's  Assignments  allows you to include a spreadsheet file as an attachment. Your write-up can go in the text box, in an attached word processor file, or it can be incorporated into a spreadsheet file that you attach. A few assignments require your doing something on paper. You may bring the paper to my office or to class on the due date. Alternatively, you may mail the paper, fax it (803-777-6986) or scan it and attach it to what you submit on Blackboard.

Guidelines for helping other students and getting help from other students

Helping another student is a great way to learn, and a great way to make a friend. Be careful, however, to follow these guidelines.

For helpers:

  • Do discuss concepts and methods
  • Do show your friend how to do something that is stumping him or her
  • Do not give a copy of your answers to your friend

For help-ees:

  • Do ask about concepts that you don't get
  • Do ask for advice if you're stuck
  • Do not accept a copy of someone else's answers

The assignments in this course are intended to be individual work, not team efforts. The goal is for you to have confidence that you can do this.

By the way, I like explaining things. Feel free to ask me for help, by e-mail or when I'm in my office.

Grades in HSPM J716

Each week's assignment is worth 4 points, if done well.
There are 14 assignments, so a perfect score for the semester is 56.

Semester grade
Total
Average per assignment
A
52.5 to 56
3.75 to 4.00
B+
45.5 up to 52.5
3.25 up to 3.75
B
38.5 up to 45.5
2.75 up to 3.25
C+
31.5 up to 38.5
2.25 up to 2.75
C
24.5 up to 31.5
1.75 up to 2.25
D or D+
10.5 up to 24.5
0.75 up to 1.75
F
below 10.5
below 0.75

Some weeks have their assignment split into two parts. The first week, for example, has assignment 1 and assignment 1A. Each part is worth 2 points, so that the total for the week is 4 points.

Fixing errors in homework

Erroneous or missing answers deduct 0.5 points each.  You can fix your errors later and get full credit for the assignment.  Full credit is 4 points if you turned in a reasonable effort by the due date.

For Students Working in Our Lab

The BlueCross BlueShield and Companion Technologies Computer Education Center, which we call our "lab," has computers that you can use to do this course's assignments. To work in the lab, you need a storage device to store your files. Your alternatives are:
Storage Technology Advantages Disadvantages Access as
3-inch floppy disk Cheap. Enough capacity for this course. Not reliable. Tends to break while you're working on an important assignment. Floppy (A:)
Thumb-sized USB flash drive Reliable. Enough capacity for all your courses. Moderately expensive. Easy to lose. Removable (E:)
Hard drive of computer Already paid for. May be erased at any time! When we upgrade software, we often overwrite the hard disks of lab computers. Local Disk (C:)

Specific Learning Objectives

  1. Spreadsheet and Presentation Graphics Skills
    1. Students will demonstrate an ability to use a computer-based spreadsheet as a tool for organizing data and making calculations. (All course sessions)
    2. Students will demonstrate an ability to create graphs that present data clearly. (Jan. 29 session)
  2. Econometrics and Forecasting
    1. Students will demonstrate an understanding of the theory behind regression-based forecasting methods. (Jan. 14 - Feb. 25 sessions)
    2. Students will demonstrate an ability to present a reasonable analysis of time series data, including a forecast with a statement of justification and limitations. (Feb. 25 session)
  3. Queuing Theory
    1. Students will demonstrate an understanding of the theory behind standard methods of analyzing the dynamics of queues (waiting lines), including the assumptions behind and limitations of that theory. (Mar. 3 - Mar. 17 sessions)
    2. Students will demonstrate an ability to analyze specific queuing situations. (Mar. 17 session)
  4. What-If Analysis
    1. Students will demonstrate an ability to do What-If analysis, and an understanding of the limitations of What-If analysis. (Mar. 24 session)
  5. Linear Programming
    1. Students will demonstrate an understanding of the theory of optimization under constraint where the constraints and objective function are linear. (Mar. 31 - Apr. 7 sessions)
    2. Students will demonstrate an understanding of the scope and limitations of the applicability of linear programming theory. (Mar. 31 - Apr. 7 sessions)
    3. Students will demonstrate an ability to analyze specific linear programming problems. (Mar. 31 - Apr. 7 sessions)
  6. Project Planning / Critical Path Analysis
    1. Students will demonstrate an understanding of the scope of network analysis theory. (Apr. 14 session)
    2. Students will demonstrate an ability to apply the Critical Path Method to a specific problem. (Apr. 16 session)
  7. Decision Theory
    1. Students will demonstrate an understanding of basic ideas and methods in decision theory. (Apr. 23 session)
    2. Students will demonstrate an ability to apply these ideas to a specific problem. (Apr. 21 session)
  8. Markup Languages, HTML
    1. Students will demonstrate an understanding of theoretical and practical considerations behind the design of markup languages. (Apr. 28 session)
    2. Students will demonstrate an ability to design a basic web page in HTML. (Apr. 30 session)
    3. Students will demonstrate an acquaintance with the concepts behind interactive web pages. (Apr. 30 session)
  9. Writing skills -- Students will demonstrate an ability to present clearly and accurately the results of mathematical analysis. (All sessions)

Student performance of these objectives will be evaluated by weekly assignments.


The views and opinions expressed in this page are strictly those of the page author. The contents of this page have not been reviewed or approved by the University of South Carolina.
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